The WxIntegrations team has reviewed the recent “Revised NOAA 2017 July Climate outlooks” which were released on June 15, 2017. In this post, we highlight a few key trends. For more information, see video below where our CEO, Diane Cooper, provides some additional insights on what we could see in July as well as what we expect for the remainder of June.
For temperatures, the outlooks are showing a warm bias for most of the country. We are seeing a slightly stronger bias for above normal in the Four Corners and even into southern Wyoming, far southern Texas, central and southern Florida and eastern Maine.
For northern California, the Pacific Northwest and eastward into Idaho and Montana we are seeing no clear indicators; so that area is highlighted in white as Equal Chances (EC) of seeing above, below or normal temperatures in the graphic below.
For precipitation, the outlooks highlight two areas for the potential of above normal precipitation. The first area is in the Western Gulf of Mexico for Southern Mississippi, much of Louisiana and into Eastern Texas. The second area is across Montana and far western North Dakota. We are also looking at a region of below normal precipitation for July across the Central Rockies and into the central High Plains. Otherwise, much of the country has Equal Chances (EC) of seeing above, below or normal precipitation in July which is identified in white in the graphic below.
A key challenge with summer outlooks is the fact that thunderstorms can produce localized heavy rain. This localized rainfall is not captured in the monthly outlooks. In addition, with challenges of hurricane forecasting, hurricanes are incorporated into the monthly outlooks.
For a more detailed briefing with a check on the current drought situation, activity in the tropics and a look at what we expect through the end of June and the outlooks for July, see our 2017 July Climate Outlook video.
The team at WxIntegrations will continue to provide relevant information and resources to help you better understand and prepare by incorporating weather impacts into your planning and response.
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